Here’s our daily look at what’s making news on the Ontario campaign trail.
- Progressive Conservative leader Doug Ford again denied accusations that he mismanaged the family business and deprived the widow and children of his late brother Rob of millions of dollars. But he also twice refused to answer whether he would release audited financial statements and reveal his annual salary. The allegations were made in a lawsuit filed by Rob Ford’s widow, Renata, and her two children. None of the allegations has been proven in court. iPolitics reports that in March, Ford said he would put his company in a trust, but the PC Party wouldn't say whether he's done so. However, the province’s Integrity Act doesn't require him to do so yet, as he's not a member of cabinet.
- The Toronto Star reports that court documents show that Rob Ford’s estate is valued at $1.1 million, but there is no indication that there has been a detailed accounting of the late mayor’s financial affairs or that his beneficiaries have received any payout, two years after his death.
- The National Post spoke to former executives at Deco Labels, the Ford family company, who say that Ford was a good businessman, but that the company went downhill when he turned to politics.
- Yesterday afternoon, Steve Paikin reported that Advanced Symbolics, a company that uses artificial intelligence to monitor public opinion via social media, has found that 35 per cent of voters are talking about the Ford lawsuit controversy. Among that group, 74 per cent are feeling more negative about Doug Ford because of it, while 21 per cent are defending Ford and 5 per cent are neutral. It was unclear, however, whether the issue would have any significant impact on voter intentions.
- Polls continue to show the Progressive Conservatives with the edge heading into the last day of campaigning. A tracking poll by Pollara for Maclean’s shows the Tories at 39 per cent, the NDP at 37 per cent, and the Liberals at 17 per cent. A poll by the firm Leger had an almost identical result, with the PCs at 39, the NDP at 38, and the Liberals at 17. Based on these numbers, most polling experts believe the PCs could win a majority government.
- How it is that the PCs could end up winning so many more seats than the NDP, given that they’re virtually tied in the polls? Here’s how: “Conservatives are doing twice as well in rural and suburban areas that have fewer voters but more actual seats,” EKOS Politics CEO Frank Graves told Vice “A lot of NDP voters are concentrated in areas where you can only just win one seat, so even if you get a majority of votes in that area, it doesn’t help you much. The Conservatives have much more seat efficiency.”
- TVO.org’s John Michael McGrath gives a preview of what a Progressive Conservative or NDP cabinet might look like.
- If the NDP wants to form government, it'll need the support of one unlikely riding, TVO.org’s David Rockne Corrigan reports.
- Liberal insiders have privately told the Toronto Star that, at best, the party might be able to win 12 seats. It had 55 at dissolution. Eight seats are required for official party status. On Monday, polling firm Advanced Symbolics was projecting the Liberals would win one seat.
- If your MPP is running for re-election, you can find out their voting record in the legislature here.
- Last night, The Agenda debated the Progressive Conservative platform and discussed the absence of fiscal restraint in all of the major party platforms.
- The Globe and Mail reports that Ontario Proud, a conservative political advocacy group, is sending out mass unsolicited texts and phone calls to voters, raising questions about privacy and access to Ontarians’ personal data.
- PC candidate for Scarborough North Raymond Cho has apologized over getting into a physical altercation with Grade 7 student outside a school last week. The student was not injured. Toronto Police say no charges have been laid, and police are not investigating.
- Some trans voters say they’re worried about outing themselves at the polls after receiving voter cards with old names.
- Michal Stein takes a look at how to vote when you’re homeless.
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What to watch for
- Wynne will make an announcement in Toronto at 10 a.m., deliver remarks in Port Dover at 1:45 p.m., and meet with local supporters in Burlington at 5:45 p.m.
- Ford will visit Milton at 9:30 a.m. and Oakville at 11:30 a.m. He’ll make an announcement in Burlington at 1 p.m., an appearance in Etobicoke at 2 p.m., and then finish his campaign with a rally in Caledonia at 7 p.m.
- Horwath will make an announcement at 9:30 a.m. in Scarborough and then hold a campaign event at 11:30 a.m. In the afternoon, she’ll stop in Brampton at 1 p.m., Toronto at 2:30 p.m., and York at 3:30 p.m.
- Green Party leader Mike Schreiner will be spending all his energy today trying win a seat in Guelph, where at least one poll showed him slightly ahead of his rivals. If he wins, he will be the first Green MPP in Ontario history.
- Tonight, The Agenda With Steve Paikin will welcome two former Ontario premiers — David Peterson and Ernie Eves — to weigh in on the election campaign and what life is like for a party leader. Then the program will feature a discussion of how the three major party leaders can get out from under the long shadow of their predecessors. Watch it on TVO at 8 p.m. or 11 p.m. You can also catch the program via Facebook and Twitter at 8 p.m.
Correction: The Liberals had 55 seats when the government was dissolved, not 56, as a previous version of this article stated.