Here’s our daily look at what’s making news on the Ontario campaign trail.
- The Progressive Conservatives and the NDP are both using Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne’s admission that her party won’t win the election to argue they should be entrusted with a majority government. Wynne is urging people to vote Liberal in the hopes that enough MPPs from her party will hold either the PCs or the NDP to a minority and serve as a check on the more extreme impulses of whoever wins. Ford barely mentioned the Liberals on Sunday, instead focusing most of his attacks on the New Democrats. Horwath ruled out any kind of coalition with the Liberals in the event of a minority government and told voters, “If you want change, but you don’t want Doug Ford, join us.”
- Three polls released over the past 24 hours show a very tight race. ONPulse concludes that with the NDP at 37 per cent, the PCs at 33 per cent, and the Liberals at 23 per cent, the outcome of the race is uncertain. While the New Democrats have the lead, ONPulse notes that the PC vote is spread more efficiently across the province, which could mean that the party will win the most seats even if they lose the popular vote. Meanwhile, a poll by Pollara for Maclean’s shows the NDP and PCs dead even at 37 per cent support each, and the Liberals at 20 per cent. If Pollara is correct, the Tories would probably win far more seats than the NDP due to the efficiency of their vote. And a Forum Research poll shows the PCs with a slight lead at 38 per cent, compared to 37 per cent for the NDP and 18 per cent for the Liberals. The Forum survey, taken after Wynne conceded the Liberals would lose, finds that her admission has had no impact on the numbers.
- With the Liberals a distant third and a fear of Ford as premier running high among progressive voters, the NDP is looking for a sweep in the ridings of downtown Toronto, typically one of the safest Liberal areas in the province.
- The Green Party is highlighting a poll that shows leader Mike Schreiner poised to win the riding of Guelph and become the first MPP from his party in Ontario history. The poll, by Mainstreet Research, shows Schreiner narrowly ahead of his rivals with 32.8 per cent support.
- The Toronto Star reports that while health-care experts are pleased that all political parties are promising support for the province’s strained hospital system, they are disappointed with the simplistic solutions being offered.
- Would Ford introduce a “strong mayor system” in Ontario if he became premier? While he hasn’t mentioned it on the campaign trail, the Toronto Star notes that in his 2016 book, Ford Nation, he wrote, “I think mayors across the province deserve stronger powers. One person in charge, with veto power, similar to the strong mayoral systems in New York and Chicago and L.A.” Asked whether Ford would act on this idea in the premier’s office, PC spokesperson Melissa Lantsman said, “Doug Ford is supportive of measures that make municipal government more efficient and effective. I’ll leave it at that.”
- QP Briefing reports that Ripudaman Dhillon, the PC candidate for Brampton North, faces four lawsuits alleging fraud, "unjust enrichment," and ethical breaches in connection with his immigration consultancy. The party knew about the lawsuits before his candidacy was approved.
Stay up to date!
Get Current Affairs & Documentaries email updates in your inbox every morning.
What to watch for
- The Liberals say that they will highlight “new audio tape evidence that reveals Doug Ford’s true views on gun safety” at 9:30 a.m. At 11 a.m., Wynne will make an announcement from the media studio at Queen’s Park. At 1 p.m., she’ll record an interview with CTV News at Six, which will air this evening. She’ll attend a barbecue in Midland for local Liberal candidate Gerry Marshall in Midland at 6 p.m., then speak with Steve Paikin on The Agenda at 8 p.m.
- Ford will make an announcement in Scarborough at 9:30 a.m.
- Today, Horwath will be crisscrossing southwestern Ontario, where polls show the NDP with a strong lead. She held a campaign event earlier this morning in London. She’ll visit Sarnia at 11:45 a.m., Chatham at 1:30 p.m., St. Thomas at 3:30 p.m., and Woodstock at 5:30 p.m.
- At 1 p.m. in Guelph, Schreiner will make an announcement related to mental health.
- Tonight, The Agenda With Steve Paikin will talk with Kathleen Wynne about her stunning decision to concede the election, and then assemble a group of longtime Liberals to examine just what Wynne’s admission of defeat may mean for the election and for her party. Watch it on TVO at 8 p.m. or 11 p.m. You can also catch the program via Facebook and Twitter at 8 p.m.